- Joe Biden has been the nominal leader in the 2020 Democratic primary since launching his campaign last April.
- But he was just glued in Iowa and New Hampshire, it is said he expected to lose, but not too bad.
Biden's vote was that he has the unique "choice" to beat Donald Trump, but if you take a closer look, his claims about choice are based on the call rather than the demonstration.
- If Biden's mission is to return to "normalcy", he would do his party a favor by immediately breaking off and supporting another moderate. At this point, staying in the race is just an easier way to nominate democratic socialist Bernie Sanders.
- This is an opinion pillar. The thoughts expressed are those of the author.
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Former Vice President Joe Biden has been the de facto democratic leader since he started his third presidential run last April.
He was charged with unprecedented notoriety as the right-wing man of former President Barack Obama and promised a return to "normality"after the three years of turmoil and fear that Donald Trump's presidency embodied.
For this reason, it was surprising that he had no influence in the first two crucial competitions of the Democratic nomination process. In the Iowa Caucuses, he took a distant fourth place (six delegates) and in the New Hampshire area code an impressive fifth place (less) than 9% of the vote and did not take any delegates at all.
However, Biden's election campaign has not brought in enormous amounts of resources in either of the two states. He chose to take advantage of his robust support among African-American voters at national level and his considerable lead in South Carolina – the fourth major competition after Iowa, New Hampshire. and Nevada.
A blatant mistake in this strategy is that since the introduction of the Iowa Caucuses in 1972, no candidate has been elected president without ending up in the top 2 in Iowa or New Hampshire. And while there is a lot of talk in this electoral cycle about why these two rural, stark white states should no longer maintain their high presidential status, expectations of these two competitions remain important.
But if "normality" is his endgame and if he really believes A person on the far left like Senator Bernie Sanders would offer Trump an easy route to re-election. Biden would be better off if he only got out of the race. Fast.
The biden case of “selectability” falls apart
At that point, Biden would have to write history to become president. Despite being the vice president of a historical personality, Biden was never the type to write history.
In his honor, he never promised to be such a president. There were Whisper from senior consultants in his campaign that he would be more of a janitor president, he would build a bridge between Trump and presumably the Democrat who acts as Biden's vice president.
Biden's national campaign appeal really only works for a vice president. His popular centrism and long years in the Senate's Foreign Relations Committee made him a natural wingman for Obama, whose bubbly rhetoric and inspiring biography put him in the world in front of a number of more experienced candidates, including Biden.
But as a soloist on the national stage, Biden flopped in 2008, And in 1988. And it looks as if he will strive for the Trifecta for facial plants in 2020.
This time Biden's vote was "choice" in a historically crowded and diverse democratic field: I have it, and if you want to beat Donald Trump, you will vote for me.
If you take a closer look, Biden's assertion of choice seems to be based more on the suspected reputation than on previous results.
Yes, he was elected senator for seven terms, but it was the 48th most populous state in the United States He hadn't faced a really competitive opponent since replacing Republican Senator J. Caleb Boggs in 1972.
His tenure in the Senate was largely through the tenure of the Liberal Democrat Who tried to push the party right of Ronald Reagan sanctions on punishments. Then he was the "factual spokesman for the war on terrorism" – as The new republic named him in 2001 – and one of the architects of the Democratic "bipartisan" approach Authorize George W. Bush to wage war on Iraq.
Biden had to reject some of his legislative achievements, never a good sign for someone whose brand was based on government life. And his presence on the trail has produced some really bizarre moments, This was most recently illustrated when a 21-year-old New Hampshire voter expressed skepticism about his eligibility claims and playfully insulted her while distorting a film quote by John Wayne.
For these reasons, the former vice president seems to have failed the campaign.
Eight years in which Obama's proxy counts a lot at the start of a primary campaign, but a long record of compromised centrism won't convince the progressives. And it doesn't seem to have inspired the moderates who previously favored former Mayor Pete Buttigieg – a 38-year-old whose appeal is largely due to the fact that he wasn't part of the malicious machinery of Washington DC.
Even the moderate Senator Amy Klobuchar, who finished third in New Hampshire, seemed to be more than Biden after the first two competitions. Former New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg – another moderate – wasn't even elected in New Hampshire, but he spent over $ 300 million of his own fortune on Super Tuesday ads. A Foundering Biden campaign simply cannot keep up with these resources.
So Biden remains a tough fight for the nomination and a less convincing case than ever.
It's time for Biden to leave the field
As I have written, presidential candidates have been hit by a failure story over the past five decades that has been both the best known and the least fresh faces on the block: Hubert Humphrey. Walter Mondale. Bob Dole. Al Gore. John McCain. Hillary Clinton.
Nobody doubted their qualifications as president. They just couldn't motivate the right coalitions to carry them to the White House. Maybe it was your turn to run for the president, but the candidate for the move almost always beats the candidate for the status quo.
Biden is the candidate "I'm on the line" in 2020. And although it is still very early in the cycle, Biden's catastrophic start seems to remain in trend.
The ubiquity of the former Veep may have served him well in the long months of collecting and debating donations, but the preseason is now over and the prospects are bleak. A biden consultant said Politico According to the results from New Hampshire, the answer was: "This is terrible. We are all afraid."
If "normality" is Biden's final, he must immediately exit the race and bring back one of the moderates – perhaps Buttigieg or Klobuchar. These candidates can make it plausible that they will keep Biden's moderate promises and give voters a fresh face.
Otherwise, Bernie Sanders – a socialist who has never officially been a member of the Democratic Party in Congress – could run away with the nomination. And that would certainly not be a return to normal, as Biden claims that voters want.